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Passive Financial Management

9/30/2023

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10/3 16:00開賣
Discount Code: apcore
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Who Pays the Tax?

9/21/2023

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MBTI Personality Test

9/20/2023

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Tax Revenue and Deadweight Loss

9/14/2023

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0050成立至今年化報酬9.9%

9/8/2023

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Average of Five

9/5/2023

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Podcast專訪Yvoone教授:AI投資

8/28/2023

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Top AI ETF for 2023

8/28/2023

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2023 SAT Asymptotes

8/26/2023

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Podcast 8/27節目預告

8/25/2023

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Two Money Lovers聽眾:
 
於8月27日的Podcast中,我們討論了華倫巴菲特(Warren Buffett) 7大投資心法該如何實戰?價值投資的精髓又是什麼?
 
  1. 長期持有
  2. 不要虧損
  3. 內在價值
  4. 購買你了解的企業
  5. 別購買低價但低質的股票
  6. 在其他人恐懼時要貪婪
  7. 抓住你的機會
 
​巴菲特的第四項心法是「了解自己能力的限制」,在節目中強調了其重要性。季凡舉例德國智庫「貝塔斯曼基金會(Bertelsmann Stiftung)」自2003年到2022年所發布的貝塔斯曼轉型指數(BTI Index),反覆指出中國官方經濟數據與國際數據存在不一致的問題。考慮到透明度的問題,季凡在評估中國股票時傾向於調高風險溢價(Risk Premium)或避開中國股票。
BTI Index: China Report
Risk Premium
值得說明的是,事實上,這種猜測在2019年美國芝加哥大學與香港中文大學學者發表的學術論文中已有討論,即中國經濟成長率每年被高估約1.8%。
A Forensic Examination of China’s National Accounts
P.77
Relative to the official numbers, we estimate that GDP growth from 2010 to 2016 was about  1.8 percentage  points lower and that the investment and savings rate in 2016 was about 7 percentage points lower.
同時,在節目中還深入探討了巴菲特的第六項心法:「在其他人恐懼時要貪婪」。節目特別引述了臺灣國安基金的投資效率。此外,季凡也公開分享了他的投資歷程:2018金融海嘯、2015中國股災和2018美股回檔,他在這些時期都選擇加碼持有風險資產,事後證明這三次加碼都取得了顯著的績效。

祝各位聽眾投資順利!

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